Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 15
Aberdeen
ABE
Dundee FC
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen40%
Draw28%
Dundee FC32%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.27
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession36%
32%Territory26%
33%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.13
5.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Aberdeen, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Dundee FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.