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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14

Motherwell

MOT

Rangers

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Motherwell35%
Draw25%
Rangers40%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.63

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rangers will have the ball; Motherwell will not mind.

50%Possession58%
33%Territory41%
21%From set plays12%
0.14Chance quality0.15
5.1%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 3 for Rangers. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.