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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14

Motherwell

MOT

Rangers

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Motherwell30%
Draw25%
Rangers44%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.70

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Motherwell will have the ball; Rangers will not mind.

64%Possession51%
40%Territory34%
14%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.13
2.8%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 4 for Rangers.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.