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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14

Hibernian

HIB

Dundee United

DUD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hibernian43%
Draw25%
Dundee United33%

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.51

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; Dundee United will not mind.

56%Possession46%
39%Territory33%
18%From set plays48%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hibernian, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.