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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14

Hibernian

HIB

Dundee United

DUD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hibernian42%
Draw28%
Dundee United31%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.23

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; Dundee United will not mind.

56%Possession47%
32%Territory36%
44%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hibernian, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.