Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14
Falkirk
FAL
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk50%
Draw25%
St. Johnstone24%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.12
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Johnstone get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession42%
28%Territory36%
16%From set plays40%
0.10Chance quality0.11
7.6%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 4 for St. Johnstone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.