Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14
Falkirk
FAL
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk39%
Draw26%
St. Johnstone35%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.49
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession50%
32%Territory36%
11%From set plays15%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.7%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 4 for St. Johnstone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.