Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14
Dundee FC
DUN
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee FC34%
Draw26%
Hearts39%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.53
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hearts will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.
36%Possession57%
26%Territory31%
26%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for Hearts. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Dundee FC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.