Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14
Dundee FC
DUN
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee FC49%
Draw22%
Hearts28%
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.57
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
70%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.9%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.5%
- 1–06.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession48%
26%Territory36%
48%From set plays49%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.5%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 3 for Hearts. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.