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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14

Celtic

CEL

St. Mirren

STM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celtic68%
Draw19%
St. Mirren13%

Expected goals

2.35 – 0.99

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.9%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celtic will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.

61%Possession50%
43%Territory30%
19%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 4 for St. Mirren.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.