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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14

Celtic

CEL

St. Mirren

STM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celtic62%
Draw20%
St. Mirren18%

Expected goals

2.27 – 1.18

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 219.7%
  • 118.6%
  • 208.3%
  • 107.8%
  • 317.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celtic will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.

61%Possession46%
48%Territory34%
11%From set plays18%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 4 for St. Mirren.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.