Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Falkirk
FAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hearts57%
Draw22%
Falkirk21%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.17
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hearts will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.
57%Possession43%
31%Territory32%
26%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hearts, 4 for Falkirk.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.