Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13
St. Mirren
STM
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Mirren31%
Draw25%
Rangers44%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.71
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession51%
34%Territory34%
18%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.3%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 4 for Rangers.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.