Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13
St. Mirren
STM
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Mirren22%
Draw23%
Rangers55%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.99
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–27.9%
- 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rangers will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.
50%Possession58%
30%Territory41%
28%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.15
5.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 3 for Rangers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.