Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13
St. Johnstone
STJ
Dundee FC
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone32%
Draw24%
Dundee FC44%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.78
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession48%
36%Territory26%
40%From set plays48%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.