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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13

St. Johnstone

STJ

Dundee FC

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St. Johnstone43%
Draw26%
Dundee FC31%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.35

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

St. Johnstone will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

50%Possession36%
36%Territory26%
15%From set plays26%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.4%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.