Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13
Celtic
CEL
Kilmarnock
KIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic67%
Draw19%
Kilmarnock14%
Expected goals
2.36 – 1.05
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.4%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–18.2%
- 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celtic will have the ball; Kilmarnock will not mind.
61%Possession46%
48%Territory39%
11%From set plays32%
0.14Chance quality0.10
3.4%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 4 for Kilmarnock.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kilmarnock
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.