Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13
Celtic
CEL
Kilmarnock
KIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic66%
Draw19%
Kilmarnock16%
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.18
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.1%
- 1–17.7%
- 3–17.7%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession54%
43%Territory37%
20%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 4 for Kilmarnock.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.