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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13

Aberdeen

ABE

Hibernian

HIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aberdeen37%
Draw27%
Hibernian36%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.41

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.

41%Possession56%
32%Territory39%
33%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Aberdeen, 4 for Hibernian.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.