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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13

Aberdeen

ABE

Hibernian

HIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aberdeen47%
Draw27%
Hibernian27%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.14

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 0–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.

45%Possession56%
36%Territory32%
33%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aberdeen, 3 for Hibernian. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.