Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 12
Rangers
RAN
Aberdeen
ABE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rangers56%
Draw23%
Aberdeen21%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.20
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rangers will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
58%Possession45%
41%Territory36%
12%From set plays33%
0.15Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rangers, 3 for Aberdeen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.