Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 12
Kilmarnock
KIL
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kilmarnock40%
Draw26%
St. Johnstone35%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.49
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kilmarnock get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession50%
39%Territory36%
32%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.3%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 4 for St. Johnstone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kilmarnock
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.