Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 12
Hibernian
HIB
Dundee FC
DUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian41%
Draw26%
Dundee FC33%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.39
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession48%
32%Territory26%
44%From set plays48%
0.11Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hibernian, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.