Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 12
Falkirk
FAL
Celtic
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk22%
Draw23%
Celtic55%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.99
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–36.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celtic will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.
43%Possession61%
32%Territory48%
11%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.7%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 4 for Celtic.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.