Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 11
St. Mirren
STM
Hibernian
HIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Mirren42%
Draw25%
Hibernian33%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.52
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.
46%Possession56%
34%Territory39%
18%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.3%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 4 for Hibernian.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.