Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 11
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hearts37%
Draw26%
Rangers37%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.49
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession51%
31%Territory34%
26%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hearts, 4 for Rangers.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.