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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 10

St. Mirren

STM

Dundee FC

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

St. Mirren45%
Draw25%
Dundee FC30%

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.36

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

St. Mirren will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

46%Possession36%
34%Territory26%
18%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.3%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.