Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 10
Rangers
RAN
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rangers59%
Draw22%
St. Johnstone19%
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.11
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession50%
34%Territory36%
22%From set plays15%
0.13Chance quality0.14
6.3%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rangers, 4 for St. Johnstone.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.