Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 10
Hibernian
HIB
Celtic
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian29%
Draw24%
Celtic47%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.82
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–17.8%
- 2–16.9%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession61%
39%Territory48%
18%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.14
4.2%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hibernian, 4 for Celtic.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.