Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 10
Dundee United
DUD
Aberdeen
ABE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee United50%
Draw25%
Aberdeen25%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.22
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession41%
33%Territory32%
48%From set plays33%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 4 for Aberdeen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.