Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 9
Hibernian
HIB
Falkirk
FAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian51%
Draw24%
Falkirk25%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.28
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.
56%Possession43%
39%Territory32%
18%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.2%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hibernian, 4 for Falkirk.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.