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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 9

Dundee FC

DUN

Rangers

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee FC29%
Draw26%
Rangers45%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.61

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 0–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rangers will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

36%Possession51%
26%Territory34%
26%From set plays22%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.6%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for Rangers. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.