Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 9
Celtic
CEL
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic54%
Draw23%
Hearts23%
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.25
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–07.7%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession57%
48%Territory31%
11%From set plays26%
0.14Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 4 for Hearts.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.