Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 9
Aberdeen
ABE
St. Mirren
STM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aberdeen39%
Draw26%
St. Mirren35%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.42
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession46%
32%Territory34%
33%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.11
5.5%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Aberdeen, 4 for St. Mirren.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.