Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 8
Rangers
RAN
Kilmarnock
KIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rangers62%
Draw21%
Kilmarnock17%
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.05
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–09.5%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession46%
34%Territory39%
22%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Rangers, 4 for Kilmarnock.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kilmarnock
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.