Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 8
Motherwell
MOT
Celtic
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Motherwell27%
Draw24%
Celtic49%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.90
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–16.6%
- 0–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
64%Possession61%
40%Territory48%
14%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.14
2.8%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Motherwell, 4 for Celtic.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Motherwell
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.