Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 8
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
St. Mirren
STM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hearts52%
Draw23%
St. Mirren25%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.33
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–07.1%
- 2–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hearts will have the ball; St. Mirren will not mind.
57%Possession46%
31%Territory34%
26%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hearts, 4 for St. Mirren.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.