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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 8

Falkirk

FAL

Dundee FC

DUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Falkirk39%
Draw26%
Dundee FC35%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.42

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dundee FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession36%
32%Territory26%
11%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 3 for Dundee FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.