Skip to content

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 8

Aberdeen

ABE

St. Johnstone

STJ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aberdeen41%
Draw27%
St. Johnstone33%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.34

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 109.2%
  • 218.8%
  • 018.1%
  • 127.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

St. Johnstone will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.

41%Possession50%
32%Territory36%
33%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Aberdeen, 4 for St. Johnstone.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.