Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 7
St. Mirren
STM
Dundee United
DUD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Mirren41%
Draw24%
Dundee United34%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dundee United get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession46%
34%Territory33%
18%From set plays48%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.