Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 7
St. Johnstone
STJ
Falkirk
FAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Johnstone48%
Draw25%
Falkirk28%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.34
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–06.8%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession43%
36%Territory32%
15%From set plays11%
0.14Chance quality0.11
3.4%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Johnstone, 4 for Falkirk.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.