Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 7
Kilmarnock
KIL
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kilmarnock31%
Draw25%
Hearts44%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.68
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hearts will have the ball; Kilmarnock will not mind.
46%Possession57%
39%Territory31%
32%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 4 for Hearts.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kilmarnock
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.