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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 7

Hibernian

HIB

Aberdeen

ABE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hibernian48%
Draw26%
Aberdeen26%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.21

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.4%
  • 109.8%
  • 219.5%
  • 207.6%
  • 016.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.

56%Possession41%
39%Territory32%
18%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.2%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hibernian, 4 for Aberdeen.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.