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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 7

Dundee FC

DUN

Motherwell

MOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dundee FC42%
Draw26%
Motherwell33%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.42

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Motherwell will have the ball; Dundee FC will not mind.

36%Possession64%
26%Territory40%
26%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness2.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for Motherwell. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.