Eredivisie · Matchweek 27
PEC Zwolle
PEC
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PEC Zwolle25%
Draw28%
SC Heerenveen47%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.46
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.5%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PEC Zwolle get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
38%Possession46%
35%Territory31%
39%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.18
6.1%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PEC Zwolle, 3 for SC Heerenveen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.