Club Football Intelligence

Eredivisie · Matchweek 27

Sat, 20 Mar, 19:00 UTC

Telstar

TEL

19:00 UTC

Fortuna Sittard

FOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Telstar46%

Draw28%

Fortuna Sittard26%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.02

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–012.7%
1–112.7%
0–09.8%
2–19.0%
0–18.8%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Telstar will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.

47%Possession33%

45%Territory28%

34%From set plays39%

0.10Chance quality0.08

7.4%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Telstar, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Telstar

Tyrone OwusuMF3G 1A 1.33/90
Noach ShenkmanMF1G 1A 1.05/90
Patrick BrouwerMF1G 1A 1.00/90

Fortuna Sittard

Anthony DescotteFW2G 0A 1.08/90
Rodrigo GuthDF1G 1A 0.86/90
Shiloh ZandMF1G 1A 0.69/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.