Eredivisie · Matchweek 27
FC Groningen
FCG
PSV Eindhoven
PSV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Groningen24%
Draw25%
PSV Eindhoven52%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.0%
- 1–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSV Eindhoven get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession56%
37%Territory51%
17%From set plays39%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Groningen, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Groningen
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.