Eredivisie · Matchweek 27
ADO Den Haag
ADO
Willem II
WIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
ADO Den Haag48%
Draw27%
Willem II25%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.06
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–012.0%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
ADO Den Haag will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
57%Possession44%
38%Territory33%
11%From set plays11%
0.07Chance quality0.18
7.6%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for ADO Den Haag, 3 for Willem II. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.