Eredivisie · Matchweek 27
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Excelsior
EXC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AZ Alkmaar70%
Draw19%
Excelsior10%
Expected goals
2.11 – 0.71
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.3%
- 1–013.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 3–09.0%
- 1–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
56%Possession42%
47%Territory32%
30%From set plays45%
0.15Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AZ Alkmaar, 3 for Excelsior. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.