Eredivisie · Matchweek 27
FC Utrecht
FCU
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht42%
Draw28%
Sparta Rotterdam31%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.23
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Utrecht will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.
54%Possession44%
42%Territory39%
30%From set plays7%
0.08Chance quality0.19
5.9%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.