Eredivisie · Matchweek 26
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AZ Alkmaar53%
Draw25%
Sparta Rotterdam22%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.02
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AZ Alkmaar will have the ball; Sparta Rotterdam will not mind.
56%Possession44%
47%Territory39%
30%From set plays7%
0.15Chance quality0.19
4.7%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AZ Alkmaar, 3 for Sparta Rotterdam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AZ Alkmaar
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.