Eredivisie · Matchweek 26
Willem II
WIL
FC Twente
FCT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Willem II9%
Draw17%
FC Twente75%
Expected goals
0.72 – 2.38
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.9%
- 0–111.3%
- 0–39.8%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Twente will have the ball; Willem II will not mind.
44%Possession64%
33%Territory54%
11%From set plays40%
0.18Chance quality0.14
8.2%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Willem II, 3 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.