Eredivisie · Matchweek 26
SC Heerenveen
SCH
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
SC Heerenveen60%
Draw24%
Fortuna Sittard16%
Expected goals
1.74 – 0.81
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
SC Heerenveen will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
46%Possession33%
31%Territory28%
7%From set plays39%
0.18Chance quality0.08
7.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for SC Heerenveen, 3 for Fortuna Sittard. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.