Eredivisie · Matchweek 26
Excelsior
EXC
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Excelsior16%
Draw24%
NEC Nijmegen60%
Expected goals
0.87 – 1.82
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.0%
- 0–211.1%
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Excelsior will not mind.
42%Possession65%
32%Territory58%
45%From set plays39%
0.14Chance quality0.09
8.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Excelsior, 3 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Excelsior
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.