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Eredivisie · Matchweek 26

Telstar

TEL

PSV Eindhoven

PSV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Telstar18%
Draw23%
PSV Eindhoven59%

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.89

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–111.5%
  • 1–110.5%
  • 0–210.2%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PSV Eindhoven will have the ball; Telstar will not mind.

47%Possession56%
45%Territory51%
34%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.10
7.4%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Telstar, 3 for PSV Eindhoven. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.