Eredivisie · Matchweek 26
FC Utrecht
FCU
FC Groningen
FCG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Utrecht39%
Draw27%
FC Groningen34%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.34
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession50%
42%Territory37%
30%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Utrecht, 3 for FC Groningen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.