Eredivisie · Matchweek 26
Ajax
AJA
PEC Zwolle
PEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ajax59%
Draw24%
PEC Zwolle17%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.86
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 2–011.1%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Ajax will have the ball; PEC Zwolle will not mind.
52%Possession38%
39%Territory35%
29%From set plays39%
0.13Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ajax, 3 for PEC Zwolle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.