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Eredivisie · Matchweek 26

Go Ahead Eagles

GOA

Feyenoord

FEY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Go Ahead Eagles21%
Draw25%
Feyenoord54%

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.74

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–111.5%
  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–29.3%
  • 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

52%Possession55%
34%Territory44%
16%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.16
6.2%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3 for Feyenoord. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.