Eredivisie · Matchweek 25
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fortuna Sittard22%
Draw28%
NEC Nijmegen49%
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.45
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.2%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–29.5%
- 1–29.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
NEC Nijmegen will have the ball; Fortuna Sittard will not mind.
33%Possession65%
28%Territory58%
39%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fortuna Sittard, 3 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 99 matches, not the full season.